Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Fall weather is here... looks like the hottest weather of the year is over with. The next 7 to 10 days look wonderful if you like cooler weather. Temperatures will climb into the upper 70's during the days ahead, and fall back into the 50s during the night....we may see lows in the 40s this weekend. All in all, it's shaping up to be a nice week and weekend.

Also of note, the NHC has just upgraded newly formed TD 9 to TS Humberto. He looks to be a good rain-maker for most of eastern Texas over the next few days. We also have TD 8 just SE of the Lesser Antilles. This system will have to be monitored the next few days.

Tuesday, September 4, 2007

Last months storm in Dublin

I have finally gotten around to uploading a webpage for the Aug. 24th storm in Dublin.  You can find it here:
I found out today that the new laptop I ordered back on Aug 8 is being delayed, so it won't get here until around Sept 27th....hopefully.  By then, analysis will be much simpler and faster as it will run the program, and not just my home desktop pc...allowing me to do everything on one machine.

Sunday, September 2, 2007

Cat 5 Felix

I have been watching Felix over the past couple of days...but this is very impressive. Between the 5 and 8pm updates, Felix's pressure dropped 22mb....that's very rapid for a strengthening hurricane.

Felix is now a Cat 5, and as of 8pm:
Location: 13.8N, 72.9W
Movement: WNW @ 18mph
Max winds: 165mph
Minimum pressure: 934mb

At first, the US looked to miss out on this storm altogether, but now, there is the possibility that he could swing north due to a front that is expected to make it's way across the country by mid week. If this front moves into the gulf states before Felix makes landfall in the western gulf, the front could help steer Felix into the Texan Gulf Coast. This is the question right now, but more than likely Felix will miss the US, but it isn't out of the equation totally. Here are the possible tracks:

You can see that most of the possibilities keep Felix in Mexico, but there are two that shift it toward Texas.


Something of another note to watch is a disturbance in the western Atlantic. If this system would develop, it may make it's way toward eastern Florida or the East Coast. We'll see what happens over the next few days. Here are the possibilities of this system: