Fall weather is here...

Well...it looks like the hottest weather of the year is over with. The next 7 to 10 days look wonderful if you like cooler weather. Temperatures will climb into the upper 70's during the days ahead, and fall back into the 50s during the night....we may see lows in the 40s this weekend. All in all, it's shaping up to be a nice week and weekend.

Also of note, the NHC has just upgraded newly formed TD 9 to TS Humberto. He looks to be a good rain-maker for most of eastern Texas over the next few days. We also have TD 8 just SE of the Lesser Antilles. This system will have to be monitored the next few days.

Last months storm in Dublin

I have finally gotten around to uploading a webpage for the Aug. 24th storm in Dublin.  You can find it here:

http://pulaskicounty.midatlanticweather.com/20070824.html

 

I found out today that the new laptop I ordered back on Aug 8 is being delayed, so it won't get here until around Sept 27th....hopefully.  By then, analysis will be much simpler and faster as it will run the program, and not just my home desktop pc...allowing me to do everything on one machine.

Cat 5 Felix

I have been watching Felix over the past couple of days...but this is very impressive. Between the 5 and 8pm updates, Felix's pressure dropped 22mb....that's very rapid for a strengthening hurricane.

Felix is now a Cat 5, and as of 8pm:

Location: 13.8N, 72.9W

Movement: WNW @ 18mph

Max winds: 165mph

Minimum pressure: 934mb

At first, the US looked to miss out on this storm altogether, but now, there is the possibility that he could swing north due to a front that is expected to make it's way across the country by mid week. If this front moves into the gulf states before Felix makes landfall in the western gulf, the front could help steer Felix into the Texan Gulf Coast. This is the question right now, but more than likely Felix will miss the US, but it isn't out of the equation totally. Here are the possible tracks:

You can see that most of the possibilities keep Felix in Mexico, but there are two that shift it toward Texas.

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Something of another note to watch is a disturbance in the western Atlantic. If this system would develop, it may make it's way toward eastern Florida or the East Coast. We'll see what happens over the next few days. Here are the possibilities of this system:

Friday, August 24th....Dublin, VA

Here's a short clip of the action that occurred last week in Dublin. Quarter size hail was reported with this storm. More analysis will come later this week, and I should have a page up and running by Sunday with detailed information about the storms that fired last Friday.

Webpage for Tueday's storms

I have created a webpage with some radar information about the storms that moved through the area last Tuesday.

 

http://pulaskicounty.midatlanticweather.com/20070821.html

 

I'll also be creating another webpage for the severe storm we had here in Pulaski County on Friday as soon as I get some of the archived data and analyze it. 

Tuesday's mess

I just wanted to throw a few radar images on here. These are from Tuesday. The first is a short video clip of the action that passed through the NRV around 2pm:

This picture below shows the outflow boundary that cause some power outages in Pulaski and Montgomery counties on Tuesday. As you saw in the video, this boundary is created by the thunderstorm, then rides ahead of it, usually bringing high wind gusts before any rain falls in the area.


I'll be adding more images to my website later this evening, as I still have to get the images out of archive from the weather service and then analyze them. I'll post the link to the web page as soon as I publish it.

Today's storms

If you were in the NRV today, you likely took notice of the weather as some severe storms rolled through around 2pm.  Wind gusts up to 70mph occurred, along with some short, but heavy, downpours. 

 

I'll try and have some radar images and analysis for some of the stronger storms up on the blog by tomorrow night...