Friday, August 24th....Dublin, VA

Here's a short clip of the action that occurred last week in Dublin. Quarter size hail was reported with this storm. More analysis will come later this week, and I should have a page up and running by Sunday with detailed information about the storms that fired last Friday.

Webpage for Tueday's storms

I have created a webpage with some radar information about the storms that moved through the area last Tuesday.

 

http://pulaskicounty.midatlanticweather.com/20070821.html

 

I'll also be creating another webpage for the severe storm we had here in Pulaski County on Friday as soon as I get some of the archived data and analyze it. 

Tuesday's mess

I just wanted to throw a few radar images on here. These are from Tuesday. The first is a short video clip of the action that passed through the NRV around 2pm:

This picture below shows the outflow boundary that cause some power outages in Pulaski and Montgomery counties on Tuesday. As you saw in the video, this boundary is created by the thunderstorm, then rides ahead of it, usually bringing high wind gusts before any rain falls in the area.


I'll be adding more images to my website later this evening, as I still have to get the images out of archive from the weather service and then analyze them. I'll post the link to the web page as soon as I publish it.

Today's storms

If you were in the NRV today, you likely took notice of the weather as some severe storms rolled through around 2pm.  Wind gusts up to 70mph occurred, along with some short, but heavy, downpours. 

 

I'll try and have some radar images and analysis for some of the stronger storms up on the blog by tomorrow night...

Hurricane Dean enters the SW Gulf of Mexico

Dean has crossed the Yucatan Peninsula and has moved over into the Bay of Campeche of the Gulf of Mexico.  Here are the latest stats:

 

As of 5pm:

Location:  19.4N, 91.3W

Movement:  W @ 20mph

Max Winds:  80mph

Minimum Pressure:  970mb

 

Gusts to 200mph battered the eastern Yucatan, as Dean made landfall as a Cat 5, the worst they come.  Some reports indicate that the storm surge from this storm was up to 23 feet. 

 

High pressure will help steer Dean well south of the U.S.  Dean may grow back into a major hurricane (Cat 3 or more) before making a second landfall in Mexico, on the Emerald Coast.  Dean will likely be a Cat 2 at landfall, but he may grow just a little above the Cat 3 level.  After Dean makes landfall, he will rapidly loose hurricane status and will bring flooding rains to the higher elevations.  The next few days may bring the remnants of Dean into the SW of the U.S.

First week of classes Forecast

The first week of classes looks to be hot!  91 is the forecast high for Monday, with upper 80's Tuesday and Wednesday.  Lower to middle 60's looks to be the lows during the first half of the week.  There is a 30% chance of afternoon and evening T-storms every day and into the early nighttime hours.  Thursday looks to be a little cooler...highs in the lower 80's.  Expect lows in the mid-60's the second half of the week, and Friday/Saturday have highs in the mid-80s.  Humidity sticks around the entire week...so don't expect it to feel much like these temperatures at all. 

 

On another note, northern New Hampshire and parts of Maine are under a Frost Advisory tonight, with lows expected to be in the 30's.  It won't be long until things cool off around here and we start seeing snowflakes.

Dean looks to head toward Mexico

As of 8pm:

Location:  17.5N, 77.8W

Movement:  W @ 20mph

Max Winds:  145mph

Minimum Pressure:  930mb

 

The latest model runs indicate that Dean looks to take a more southern route.  Mexico looks to be under the gun entirely, with just a slight chance that Dean will make a sharp right turn after he emerges into the Gulf of Mexico on the western side of the Yucatan.  This being said, southern Texas looks to miss a direct hit.  Cancun looks like it will see another hurricane like it did back in 1988...with winds up to 155mph, which is a Cat 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.  As he crosses over the Yucatan, Dean will likely weaken to a Cat 1 or 2.  With very warm SSTs in the Gulf, Dean will regain strength probably to a Cat 3 before reaching the western Gulf and once again bearing down on Mexico.