Monday, March 30, 2009

Monday, March 30, 2009 Forecast

Partly sunny skies here in Snowville this morning with a NW breeze and temperatures in the upper 30s. Our low over night was around 32°F with a few snow flurries. Strong W to NW wings will continue through the morning hours as a upper level low over the Great Lakes pushes northeastward. Satellite shows the mountains locked in cloud cover with areas to the east seeing more sunshine this morning. High pressure is over the great state of Tennessee this morning and will likely try to push toward the Carolinas today. An upper level disturbance is responsible for our cloud cover this morning...expect the cloud cover to dissipate somewhat as we go through the day, but we will continue to have partly to mostly cloudy skies on-and-off through the forecast period. All areas will stay dry today with highes around 55...and it will be breezy through early evening. NAM model has us a bit warmer, but with some cloud cover and NW winds through most of the day...went with slightly cooler conditions.

Tuesday should be fairly nice with highs ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s with SE winds. Skies will be partly cloudy and with the excpetion of a few stray showers into the mountains of North Carolina, our region will stay dry. Both major forecast models have the CWA locked in a cool-air wedge on Tuesday evening...but if that wedge would erode early, then temperatures could climb into the upper 60s. Will stick with the forecasted highs for now...but may have to make some adjustmets later today or during the full forecast disussion tomorrow morning.

Precip will move into the area on Wednesday morning as a frontal system swings through. This should be a fast-moving system and all the rain should be out of our region by Wednesday evening. Temperatures may climb into the lower 60's ahead of this cold front, but don't expect a cool-down after its passage....if anything, temperatures look to be quite nice for the later half of the week. With warm temperatures, could possibly see an isolated t-storm or two aroung the area, as upper level divergence should provide an enhanced area of lift over SW VA from midday through the afternoon/evening. Rainfall totals from this evening should be light...right now estimating around .2" give or take.

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