Thursday, April 9, 2009

Thursday, April 9, 2009 Forecast

Clear skies to start off the day this morning, but expect some fair-weather cumulus to develop later this afternoon once temperatures reach the lower partly cloud skies today. It will be dry with southwesterly winds bringing in some warmer conditions and highs will reach the mid to upper 60s today...forecast high for Dublin is 66. This goes above MOS guidance but with warmer air advecting in later this evening, we should be able to manage at least that temperature. Winds will shift to the southwest later today as well. More clouds will filter in overnight ahead of our next rain-maker on Friday

Tomorrow looks to start off dry, but mostly cloudy. A system off to the west will be located around Missouri spreading precip to the north and northeast of the low. This low will make its way into Tennessee by 2PM, and thats when we should expect some light precip to start. However, the bulk of the energy and rainfall should hold off until very late Friday night and very early on Saturday (midnightish). Some thunderstorms are possible tomorrow afternoon and early Friday night. (I have yet to hear any thunder this year so far...maybe this will be it). 700mb VVs in the +10 ranges are likely between 12AM and 2AM, so expecting plenty of upper-level divergence which will help generate precip. With cloudy skies and rain/drizzle hanging around Friday, temperatures will not reach their fullest potential, but am expecting the upper 50s to lower 60s tomorrow...Dublin should hit 62. If clouds thin and we get some sunshine, then might have to rethink those highs as we could potentially reach the upper-60s if we get lots of sunshine. But ATM, not expecting temps out of the lower 60s.

With the exception of some light wrap-around moisture early on Saturday, most areas will stay dry through the afternoon. Skies will be mostly cloudy with a northerly breeze ushering in CAA and lower temperatures. Temps will struggle to get out of the lower 50s on Saturday.

Little River at Snowville is at 1.36' as of 6:30AM this morning. No drastic change is forecast for the next 24 hours, but an increase is expect later on Friday afternoon/evening.

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